TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Noha Akugue vs K. Kawa (Modena (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-10) — the market is efficient, with K. Kawa favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Noha Akugue | K. Kawa |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.7% | 62.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
22.0% | 78.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.6% | 41.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.4% | 60.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.6% | 51.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Noha Akugue | clay | 1601 | 114–85 | 199 |
| K. Kawa | clay | 1713 | 106–66 | 172 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 22, 2026.
K. Kawa leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 10, 2026 | Modena (Italy) - Qualification | clay | K. Kawa | 2 - 0 |
| W | J. Avdeeva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Steiner | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | D. Astakhova | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | P. Udvardy | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
All June 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used