V. Jimenez Kasintseva vs L. Romero Gormaz — Prediction & Analysis

Modena (Italy) - Qualification · Modena - Quarter-finals · June 12, 2026 · 14:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Jimenez Kasintseva vs L. Romero Gormaz (Modena (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-12) — the market is efficient, with L. Romero Gormaz favoured at 1.55.

Surface clay Odds V. Jimenez Kasintseva 2.30 · L. Romero Gormaz 1.55

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.

Profiles: V. Jimenez Kasintseva · L. Romero Gormaz · head-to-head record · Modena (Italy) - Qualification

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method	V. Jimenez Kasintseva	L. Romero Gormaz
Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted	36.3%	63.7%
Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model	21.3%	78.7%
Serve / return point-by-point simulation	49.2%	50.8%
Blend what the bot actually prices off	35.6%	64.4%
Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds	40.3%	59.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

Player	Surface	Elo	Record	Matches
V. Jimenez Kasintseva	clay	1538	90–67	157
L. Romero Gormaz	clay	1645	174–119	293

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.

Head to head

L. Romero Gormaz leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.

Date	Event	Surface	Winner	Score
June 12, 2026	Modena (Italy) - Qualification	clay	V. Jimenez Kasintseva	2 - 0
Feb. 10, 2026	Oeiras 2	hard	L. Romero Gormaz	2 - 0
March 21, 2025	Antalya	clay	L. Romero Gormaz	2 - 0

Recent form