TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Brancaccio vs L. Bronzetti (Modena (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-12) — the market is efficient, with L. Bronzetti favoured at 1.55.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Brancaccio | L. Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.4% | 52.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
48.4% | 51.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.7% | 48.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.2% | 50.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.8% | 58.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Brancaccio | clay | 1632 | 175–127 | 302 |
| L. Bronzetti | clay | 1714 | 103–71 | 174 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
L. Bronzetti leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 18, 2026 | Rome | clay | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 1 |
| June 12, 2026 | Modena (Italy) - Qualification | clay | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 0 |
| March 11, 2026 | Antalya 3 | clay | N. Brancaccio | 2 - 0 |
| July 6, 2021 | W25 Torino | clay | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Palicova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | N. M. Schunk | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | J. Stusek | Walk Over | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Buyukakcay | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Ristic | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Ibragimova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
All June 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used