TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Salkova vs K. Kawa (Modena (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-12) — the market is efficient, with D. Salkova favoured at 1.61.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Salkova | K. Kawa |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.2% | 64.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
20.9% | 79.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
43.9% | 56.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
33.3% | 66.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.2% | 42.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Salkova | clay | 1614 | 97–70 | 167 |
| K. Kawa | clay | 1713 | 106–66 | 172 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
K. Kawa leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | Modena (Italy) - Qualification | clay | K. Kawa | 2 - 0 |
| June 29, 2023 | W25 Tarvisio | clay | K. Kawa | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Pigossi | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Rus | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A-L. Friedsam | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Boskovic | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | P. Udvardy | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
All June 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used