TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Gaubas vs P. Llamas Ruiz (French Open on 2026-05-22) — the market is efficient, with P. Llamas Ruiz favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Gaubas | P. Llamas Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.2% | 59.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.5% | 71.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
21.4% | 78.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.0% | 70.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.2% | 68.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Gaubas | clay | 1658 | 158–102 | 260 |
| P. Llamas Ruiz | clay | 1792 | 152–76 | 228 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
P. Llamas Ruiz leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | French Open | clay | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 0 |
| May 22, 2025 | French Open | clay | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 1 |
| L | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | G. A. Olivieri | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | P. Carreno-Busta | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Giron | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | K. Rice | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Lajal | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | B. Kuzuhara | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used