TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Gentzsch vs R. Safiullin (French Open on 2026-05-22) — the market is efficient, with R. Safiullin favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Gentzsch | R. Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.4% | 58.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.0% | 57.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
36.5% | 63.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.3% | 59.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
27.7% | 72.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Gentzsch | clay | 1669 | 119–78 | 197 |
| R. Safiullin | hard | 1715 | 107–81 | 188 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
R. Safiullin leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | French Open | clay | R. Safiullin | 2 - 1 |
| W | T. Monteiro | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | M. Dahlin | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | J. Reis Da Silva | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | G. Onclin | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Nedic | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 1 - 3 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | J. Fonseca | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | B. Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Rublev | 2 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Kym | 3 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
All May 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used