TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. Maristany vs K. Quevedo (French Open on 2026-05-22) — the market is efficient, with K. Quevedo favoured at 1.58.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Maristany | K. Quevedo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.7% | 52.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
37.9% | 62.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
24.0% | 76.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.5% | 63.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.6% | 60.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Maristany | clay | 1662 | 117–83 | 200 |
| K. Quevedo | clay | 1748 | 90–49 | 139 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 30, 2026.
K. Quevedo leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | French Open | clay | K. Quevedo | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 10, 2024 | W100 Cornellà de Llobregat | hard | K. Quevedo | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Lim | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | J. Ruggeri | 2 - 0 | May 30, 2026 |
| W | E. Mandlik | 2 - 0 | May 29, 2026 |
| W | M. A. Teixido Garcia | 2 - 0 | May 28, 2026 |
| W | A. Tikhonova | 2 - 0 | May 27, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 1 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | C. Monnet | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | I. Burillo Escorihuela | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | I. Fetecau | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
All May 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used