TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Gaubas vs F. Coria (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with V. Gaubas favoured at 1.20.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Gaubas | F. Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.2% | 45.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.7% | 39.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
59.4% | 40.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.1% | 41.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
78.3% | 21.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 12, 2024 | Montevideo Challenger Men | clay | F. Coria | 2 - 0 |
| L | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | G. A. Olivieri | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | P. Carreno-Busta | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | F. Forti | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | V. Sachko | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | T. Daniel | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | G. Den Ouden | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | G. Blancaneaux | 1 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used