TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in U. Humbert vs B. Bonzi (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-10) — the market is efficient, with U. Humbert favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | U. Humbert | B. Bonzi |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
39.1% | 60.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
14.7% | 85.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
35.7% | 64.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
29.8% | 70.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.6% | 34.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Humbert | hard | 1831 | 131–80 | 211 |
| B. Bonzi | hard | 1746 | 163–94 | 257 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
B. Bonzi leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 11, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | B. Bonzi | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 21, 2022 | Metz | hard | B. Bonzi | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 30, 2022 | US Open | hard | B. Bonzi | 3 - 2 |
| L | B. Shelton | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Martin | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bergs | 2 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bergs | 2 - 1 | June 28, 2026 |
| W | J. Draper | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | Y. Hanfmann | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | H. Dellien | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J. D. Hara Friend | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Mmoh | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | B. Bicknell | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
All June 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used