TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Bouzas Maneiro vs A. Tomljanovic (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-10) — the market is efficient, with J. Bouzas Maneiro favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Bouzas Maneiro | A. Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
57.4% | 42.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.5% | 44.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.4% | 48.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.8% | 45.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.6% | 47.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bouzas Maneiro | clay | 1679 | 122–67 | 189 |
| A. Tomljanovic | hard | 1767 | 73–69 | 142 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 20, 2026.
A. Tomljanovic leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 10, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | A. Tomljanovic | 2 - 0 |
| May 22, 2025 | Rabat | clay | A. Tomljanovic | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Arseneault | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Yastremska | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Bolkvadze | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Erjavec | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | C. Osorio | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
All June 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used