TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in O. Virtanen vs K. Majchrzak (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-10) — the market is efficient, with O. Virtanen favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | O. Virtanen | K. Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
67.1% | 32.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
86.6% | 13.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.2% | 35.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
72.6% | 27.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.0% | 45.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Virtanen | hard | 1724 | 122–77 | 199 |
| K. Majchrzak | hard | 1740 | 93–57 | 150 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 7, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 10, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | K. Majchrzak | 2 - 1 |
| June 7, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | O. Virtanen | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | F. Romano | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | D. Dedura | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | H. Squire | 0 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| L | G. Monfils | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Paul | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 3 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All June 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used