TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Prozorova vs S. Kraus (Ilkley on 2026-06-10) — the market is efficient, with T. Prozorova favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Prozorova | S. Kraus |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.2% | 45.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.0% | 28.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.1% | 36.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
51.4% | 48.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Prozorova | hard | 1728 | 119–58 | 177 |
| S. Kraus | clay | 1776 | 175–88 | 263 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
T. Prozorova leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | Ilkley | grass | T. Prozorova | 2 - 0 |
| May 3, 2023 | ITF W100 Wiesbaden Women | clay | S. Kraus | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 25, 2022 | W25 Istanbul | hard | T. Prozorova | 2 - 0 |
| L | P. Stearns | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Sierra | 1 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | K. Drenser-Hagmann | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Zakharova | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | D. Khomutsianskaya | 0 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | A. Charaeva | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | J. Grabher | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | E. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
All June 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used