TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Martincova vs K. Swan (Ilkley on 2026-06-10) — the market is efficient, with T. Martincova favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Martincova | K. Swan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.0% | 36.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
69.0% | 31.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.5% | 33.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
51.4% | 48.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Martincova | hard | 1586 | 69–65 | 134 |
| K. Swan | hard | 1636 | 110–50 | 160 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 28, 2026.
K. Swan leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 10, 2026 | Ilkley | grass | K. Swan | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Kraus | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | K. Swan | 0 - 2 | June 10, 2026 |
| W | K. Cross | 0 - 2 | June 8, 2026 |
| W | B. Black | 0 - 2 | June 7, 2026 |
| L | R. Masarova | 2 - 1 | June 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | I. Begu | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | V. Golubic | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 0 - 1 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | T. Martincova | 0 - 2 | June 10, 2026 |
All June 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used