TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Jones vs D. Galfi (Ilkley on 2026-06-10) — the market is efficient, with D. Galfi favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Jones | D. Galfi |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.7% | 56.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.7% | 52.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.7% | 54.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.6% | 51.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
D. Galfi leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 10, 2026 | Ilkley | grass | D. Galfi | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | V. Lepchenko | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sawangkaew | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Brengle | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Zhao | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
All June 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used