TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Gibson vs Q. Zheng (Nottingham on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with Q. Zheng favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Gibson | Q. Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
27.2% | 72.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
26.8% | 73.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
31.5% | 68.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.4% | 65.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
T. Gibson leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 17, 2026 | Nottingham | grass | T. Gibson | 2 - 0 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | Ka. Pliskova | 2 - 0 | June 19, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Micic | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used