TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Volynets vs J. Bouzas Maneiro (Nottingham on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with K. Volynets favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Volynets | J. Bouzas Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.9% | 58.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
66.1% | 33.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.8% | 42.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.1% | 47.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.9% | 41.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Volynets | hard | 1758 | 111–90 | 201 |
| J. Bouzas Maneiro | clay | 1679 | 122–67 | 189 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
J. Bouzas Maneiro leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 17, 2026 | Nottingham | grass | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 1 - 0 |
| Oct. 14, 2025 | Osaka | hard | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | I. Shymanovich | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | V. Golubic | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | G. Minnen | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Arseneault | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Yastremska | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used