TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Li vs T. Preston (Nottingham on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with A. Li favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Li | T. Preston |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.0% | 58.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.1% | 49.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.7% | 46.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
61.5% | 38.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Li | hard | 1725 | 116–89 | 205 |
| T. Preston | hard | 1773 | 139–62 | 201 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
A. Li leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 18, 2026 | Nottingham | grass | A. Li | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Frech | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Korneeva | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | Z. Sonmez | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Inglis | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawangkaew | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | P. Hon | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Dart | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Kaji | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used