TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Droguet (moneyline) at 4.90 in T. Droguet vs F. Auger-Aliassime (Montreal on 2026-08-06).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Droguet | F. Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
19.0% | 81.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.2% | 63.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
16.3% | 83.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
21.6% | 78.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
15.8% | 84.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Droguet | hard | 1796 | 104–66 | 170 |
| F. Auger-Aliassime | hard | 1947 | 174–90 | 264 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 2, 2026.
F. Auger-Aliassime leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 7, 2026 | Montpellier | hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | L. Neumayer | 2 - 0 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | J. J. Schwaerzler | 1 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | D. Altmaier | 2 - 1 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| W | H. Mayot | 2 - 0 | Sept. 27, 2026 |
| L | C. Ruud | 0 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| W | P. Carreno-Busta | 1 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| W | C. Ugo Carabelli | 1 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| L | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 | Sept. 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 1 | Sept. 19, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →