TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Waltert (moneyline) at 2.16 in S. Waltert vs M. Sherif (Hamburg on 2026-07-21). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Waltert | M. Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.2% | 59.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.3% | 48.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
62.0% | 38.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.2% | 59.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.4% | 52.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Waltert | clay | 1733 | 125–81 | 206 |
| M. Sherif | clay | 1836 | 179–73 | 252 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 11, 2026.
M. Sherif leads 4–0 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 22, 2026 | Hamburg | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 1 |
| Nov. 9, 2025 | Tucuman | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 1 |
| May 16, 2025 | Parma | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 28, 2022 | Parma | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | S. Yamalapalli | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. Teichmann | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinina | 2 - 1 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | H. Sakatsume | 1 - 2 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
| L | T. Prozorova | 1 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | M. Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| L | O. Oliynykova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
All July 21, 2026 results & picks →