TennisEdge's AI bot is backing K. Kawa +3.5 (game handicap) at 1.95 in K. Kawa vs P. Badosa (Hamburg on 2026-07-21). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Kawa | P. Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
32.2% | 67.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
16.2% | 83.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.6% | 57.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
32.2% | 67.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
22.0% | 78.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 14, 2026.
P. Badosa leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 22, 2026 | Hamburg | clay | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Rajeshwaran Revathi | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Bencic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 2 - 1 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 0 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
All July 21, 2026 results & picks →