TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Ercan +5.0 (game handicap) at 2.14 in S. Waltert vs M. Ercan (Samsun on 2026-10-05). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Waltert | M. Ercan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
81.7% | 18.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
82.9% | 17.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
82.3% | 17.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
82.3% | 17.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.6% | 18.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Waltert | hard | 1579 | 84–70 | 154 |
| M. Ercan | hard | 1434 | 72–46 | 118 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 5, 2026.
S. Waltert leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 6, 2026 | Samsun | hard | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | S. Yamalapalli | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. Teichmann | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinina | 2 - 1 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | H. Sakatsume | 1 - 2 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
| L | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| L | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 1 | Sept. 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Radivojevic | 0 - 2 | Sept. 29, 2026 |
| L | D. Egorova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 21, 2026 |
| W | G. A. Monteleone | 0 - 2 | Sept. 20, 2026 |
All Oct. 5, 2026 results & picks →