TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Nahimana vs P. Udvardy (Rabat on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with P. Udvardy favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Nahimana | P. Udvardy |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.1% | 55.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
32.5% | 67.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.6% | 48.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.7% | 57.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
27.1% | 72.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Nahimana | clay | 1559 | 148–103 | 251 |
| P. Udvardy | clay | 1702 | 179–102 | 281 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 20, 2026.
P. Udvardy leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Rabat | clay | P. Udvardy | 2 - 0 |
| L | P. Udvardy | 0 - 2 | May 20, 2026 |
| W | A. Tomljanovic | 2 - 0 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | E. Andreeva | 1 - 2 | May 16, 2026 |
| W | L. Zaar | 1 - 2 | May 14, 2026 |
| W | M. Leonard | 2 - 1 | May 13, 2026 |
| W | E. Lys | 1 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | E. Pridankina | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | K. Kawa | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used