TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Parks vs J. Teichmann (Rabat on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with J. Teichmann favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Parks | J. Teichmann |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.6% | 69.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
12.5% | 87.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
62.5% | 37.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.2% | 64.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.0% | 55.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Parks | hard | 1714 | 104–98 | 202 |
| J. Teichmann | clay | 1710 | 75–49 | 124 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
J. Teichmann leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Rabat | clay | J. Teichmann | 2 - 0 |
| W | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Havlickova | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Hontama | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Grammatikopoulou | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | R. Masarova | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 1 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | B. Palicova | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Jorge | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Massive surface discrepancy: Teichmann is a proven clay specialist (ELO 1715) while Parks struggles significantly on clay (ELO 1573), validating the model's large 16.9% edge over the market.