TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Kraus vs C. Naef (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with S. Kraus favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Kraus | C. Naef |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
80.3% | 19.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
89.4% | 10.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.2% | 50.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
73.0% | 27.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
75.0% | 25.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
S. Kraus leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | S. Kraus | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Charaeva | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | J. Grabher | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | E. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| L | J. Garland | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 2 - 0 | June 14, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 1 - 2 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | H. Tan | 2 - 0 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Urhobo | 2 - 0 | June 12, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used