TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Cirstea vs Xiy. Wang (French Open on 2026-05-31) — the market is efficient, with S. Cirstea favoured at 1.20.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Cirstea | Xiy. Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
74.1% | 25.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
82.5% | 17.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
66.5% | 33.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
74.4% | 25.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
78.9% | 21.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cirstea | hard | 1917 | 94–63 | 157 |
| Xiy. Wang | hard | 1677 | 92–80 | 172 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 23, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | French Open | clay | S. Cirstea | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 5, 2020 | Shenzhen | hard | Xiy. Wang | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Noskova | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Birrell | 2 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Bejlek | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Raducanu | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | M. Inglis | 2 - 1 | June 9, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | C. McNally | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Bassols | 1 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | H. Guo | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
All May 31, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used