TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Cirstea vs E. Raducanu (London on 2026-06-11) — the market is efficient, with S. Cirstea favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Cirstea | E. Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
20.9% | 79.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
17.6% | 82.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
19.3% | 80.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.0% | 45.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cirstea | hard | 1917 | 94–63 | 157 |
| E. Raducanu | hard | 1737 | 66–51 | 117 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 23, 2026.
E. Raducanu leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | London | grass | E. Raducanu | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 7, 2026 | WTA Cluj-Napoca | clay | S. Cirstea | 2 - 0 |
| July 3, 2021 | Wimbledon | grass | E. Raducanu | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Noskova | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Birrell | 2 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Bejlek | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Raducanu | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | M. Inglis | 2 - 1 | June 9, 2026 |
| L | D. Vekic | 2 - 0 | June 14, 2026 |
| W | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | S. Cirstea | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 | June 9, 2026 |
All June 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used