TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Dart vs B. Bencic (London on 2026-06-11) — the market is efficient, with B. Bencic favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Dart | B. Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
23.6% | 76.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
13.7% | 86.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
35.3% | 64.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
24.2% | 75.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
18.8% | 81.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
| L | S. Stephens | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Dong | 1 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Preston | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | K. Cross | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 1 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | Xin. Wang | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Stojsavljevic | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Svitolina | 2 - 1 | May 31, 2026 |
All June 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used