TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Cristian vs K. Boulter (London on 2026-06-11) — the market is efficient, with K. Boulter favoured at 1.61.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Cristian | K. Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
17.6% | 82.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
8.1% | 91.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
12.9% | 87.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.2% | 58.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cristian | hard | 1839 | 72–67 | 139 |
| K. Boulter | hard | 1758 | 102–70 | 172 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 23, 2026.
K. Boulter leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | London | grass | K. Boulter | 2 - 0 |
| April 15, 2026 | Rouen | clay | K. Boulter | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 26, 2022 | Tallinn | hard | K. Boulter | 2 - 0 |
| L | I. Jovic | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 0 - 2 | June 8, 2026 |
| L | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 1 | May 25, 2026 |
| L | V. Mboko | 2 - 1 | May 22, 2026 |
| L | K. Cross | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. C. Grant | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 1 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Vekic | 0 - 2 | June 13, 2026 |
All June 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used