S. Bejlek vs E. Alexandrova — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · WTA Cincinnati - 1/16-finals · Aug. 18, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Bejlek (moneyline) at 2.02 in S. Bejlek vs E. Alexandrova (Cincinnati on 2026-08-18). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds S. Bejlek 2.00 · E. Alexandrova 1.80

Bot bet

S. Bejlek (moneyline) @ 2.02 · 0.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: S. Bejlek · E. Alexandrova · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method S. Bejlek E. Alexandrova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
45.6% 54.4%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
49.8% 50.2%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
48.6% 51.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
45.6% 54.4%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
47.4% 52.6%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
S. Bejlek hard1866 44–2670
E. Alexandrova hard1809 110–82192

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 31, 2026.

Head to head

S. Bejlek leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 18, 2026CincinnatihardS. Bejlek2 - 1
Feb. 7, 2026WTA Abu DhabihardS. Bejlek2 - 0

Recent form

S. Bejlek

L C. Bucsa 1 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
L C. Gauff 0 - 2 Aug. 23, 2026
W M. Keys 2 - 1 Aug. 21, 2026
W A. Sabalenka 0 - 2 Aug. 20, 2026
W E. Alexandrova 2 - 1 Aug. 18, 2026

E. Alexandrova

L M. Kostyuk 2 - 0 Sept. 4, 2026
W K. Birrell 1 - 2 Sept. 2, 2026
W M. Kessler 0 - 2 Aug. 30, 2026
L C. Tauson 1 - 2 Aug. 27, 2026
L S. Bejlek 2 - 1 Aug. 18, 2026

All Aug. 18, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →