TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Musetti (moneyline) at 1.60 in M. Zheng vs L. Musetti (Cincinnati on 2026-08-18). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Zheng | L. Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
33.0% | 67.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
30.4% | 69.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
59.4% | 40.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.3% | 60.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.5% | 65.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Zheng | hard | 1721 | 80–43 | 123 |
| L. Musetti | hard | 1902 | 106–91 | 197 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.
L. Musetti leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 18, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | L. Musetti | 2 - 0 |
| W | O. Baris | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | G. Hussey | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | J. K. Trotter | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | Y. Wu | 2 - 0 | Oct. 7, 2026 |
| L | N. Mejia | 0 - 2 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | T. Samuel | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 1 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Zverev | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
All Aug. 18, 2026 results & picks →