S. Bejlek vs C. Gauff — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · · Aug. 22, 2026 · 23:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 20.0 games at 2.04 in S. Bejlek vs C. Gauff (Cincinnati on 2026-08-22). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds S. Bejlek 3.40 · C. Gauff 1.33

Bot bet

Under 20.0 games @ 2.04 · 0.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: S. Bejlek · C. Gauff · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method S. Bejlek C. Gauff
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
22.8% 77.2%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
18.5% 81.5%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
44.0% 56.0%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
28.5% 71.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
28.1% 71.9%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
S. Bejlek hard1866 44–2670
C. Gauff hard2107 169–62231

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 31, 2026.

Head to head

C. Gauff leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 23, 2026CincinnatihardC. Gauff2 - 0

Recent form

S. Bejlek

L C. Bucsa 1 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
L C. Gauff 0 - 2 Aug. 23, 2026
W M. Keys 2 - 1 Aug. 21, 2026
W A. Sabalenka 0 - 2 Aug. 20, 2026
W E. Alexandrova 2 - 1 Aug. 18, 2026

C. Gauff

L E. Rybakina 1 - 2 Sept. 11, 2026
W M. Andreeva 1 - 2 Sept. 9, 2026
W I. Jovic 0 - 2 Sept. 7, 2026
W C. Bucsa 0 - 2 Sept. 5, 2026
W P. Badosa 0 - 2 Sept. 3, 2026

All Aug. 22, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →