S. Bejlek vs C. Gauff — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · · Aug. 22, 2026 · 23:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 20.0 games at 2.04 in S. Bejlek vs C. Gauff (Cincinnati on 2026-08-22). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds S. Bejlek 3.40 · C. Gauff 1.33

Bot bet

Under 20.0 games @ 2.04 · 0.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: S. Bejlek · C. Gauff · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method S. Bejlek C. Gauff
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
22.8% 77.2%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
18.5% 81.5%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
44.0% 56.0%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
28.5% 71.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
28.1% 71.9%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
S. Bejlek hard1838 48–3078
C. Gauff hard2090 173–64237

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 23, 2026.

Head to head

C. Gauff leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 23, 2026CincinnatihardC. Gauff2 - 0

Recent form

S. Bejlek

L M. Bouzkova 0 - 2 Oct. 23, 2026
W S. Cirstea 0 - 2 Oct. 21, 2026
W A. Parks 2 - 1 Oct. 20, 2026
L J. Paolini 2 - 0 Oct. 12, 2026
L N. Osaka 0 - 2 Oct. 4, 2026

C. Gauff

W M. Kostyuk 0 - 2 Nov. 12, 2026
L L. Noskova 0 - 2 Nov. 10, 2026
W J. Pegula 2 - 1 Nov. 8, 2026
L E. Mertens 0 - 2 Oct. 7, 2026
W X. Sun 2 - 0 Oct. 5, 2026

All Aug. 22, 2026 results & picks →

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