TennisEdge's AI bot is backing F. Cobolli (moneyline) at 3.56 in F. Cobolli vs A. Fils (Cincinnati on 2026-08-22). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Cobolli | A. Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
33.0% | 67.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.3% | 61.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
26.5% | 73.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.9% | 69.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
27.0% | 73.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cobolli | hard | 1781 | 88–81 | 169 |
| A. Fils | hard | 1965 | 109–68 | 177 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 29, 2026.
A. Fils leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 22, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | A. Fils | 2 - 0 |
| April 9, 2025 | Monte Carlo | clay | A. Fils | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 29, 2023 | ATP Next Gen Finals - Jeddah | hard | A. Fils | 3 - 0 |
| L | M. Berrettini | 0 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | L. Musetti | 1 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | B. Nakashima | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Wawrinka | 2 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | T. Machac | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 1 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Michelsen | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | G. Mpetshi Perricard | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
All Aug. 22, 2026 results & picks →