TennisEdge's AI bot is backing F. Cobolli (moneyline) at 3.56 in F. Cobolli vs A. Fils (Cincinnati on 2026-08-22). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Cobolli | A. Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
33.0% | 67.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.3% | 61.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
26.5% | 73.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.9% | 69.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
27.0% | 73.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cobolli | hard | 1829 | 87–77 | 164 |
| A. Fils | hard | 1989 | 99–63 | 162 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 5, 2026.
A. Fils leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 22, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | A. Fils | 2 - 0 |
| April 9, 2025 | Monte Carlo | clay | A. Fils | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 29, 2023 | ATP Next Gen Finals - Jeddah | hard | A. Fils | 3 - 0 |
| L | A. Blockx | 3 - 1 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | T. Schoolkate | 1 - 3 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | F. Comesana | 2 - 3 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Fils | 0 - 2 | Aug. 22, 2026 |
| W | T. Paul | 1 - 2 | Aug. 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 3 - 1 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| W | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | Aug. 23, 2026 |
| W | F. Cobolli | 0 - 2 | Aug. 22, 2026 |
| W | T. A. Tirante | 0 - 2 | Aug. 21, 2026 |
| W | A. De Minaur | 2 - 0 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
All Aug. 22, 2026 results & picks →