TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Bandecchi vs C. Paquet (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with S. Bandecchi favoured at 1.83.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Bandecchi | C. Paquet |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
52.6% | 47.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.8% | 31.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
57.9% | 42.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bandecchi | hard | 1628 | 96–65 | 161 |
| C. Paquet | clay | 1476 | 113–103 | 216 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | S. Bandecchi | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 10, 2021 | W60 Montreux | clay | C. Paquet | 2 - 0 |
| W | V. Hruncakova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | X. Gao | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Gasanova | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | H. Shi | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | C. Buyukakcay | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| L | A. Lazaro Garcia | 1 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Rus | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | V. Strakhova | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | V. Ivanov | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used