TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. Montgomery vs G. Minnen (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-10) — the market is efficient, with G. Minnen favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Montgomery | G. Minnen |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.9% | 43.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.5% | 25.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
60.0% | 40.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.8% | 36.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
43.0% | 57.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | hard | 1608 | 70–47 | 117 |
| G. Minnen | hard | 1667 | 122–81 | 203 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 17, 2025.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 11, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | R. Montgomery | 2 - 0 |
| June 28, 2023 | WTA Wimbledon | grass | G. Minnen | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 1 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | E. Kalieva | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Dolehide | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Krejcikova | Walk Over | June 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Inglis | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | K. Volynets | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Brengle | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | D. Vidmanova | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | M. Yamaguchi | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
All June 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used