TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. Hijikata vs J. Lehecka (London on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with J. Lehecka favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Hijikata | J. Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.4% | 63.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
18.5% | 81.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.7% | 52.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
33.6% | 66.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
30.2% | 69.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hijikata | hard | 1725 | 183–115 | 298 |
| J. Lehecka | hard | 1890 | 126–83 | 209 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
R. Hijikata leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 18, 2026 | London | grass | R. Hijikata | 2 - 1 |
| L | J. Munar | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. De Jong | 3 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | U. Humbert | 2 - 0 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | J. Lehecka | 2 - 1 | June 18, 2026 |
| L | C. Wong | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 1 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | J. Munar | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Molcan | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Popyrin | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used