TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Mannarino vs A. Fery (London on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with A. Mannarino favoured at 1.87.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Mannarino | A. Fery |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
67.0% | 33.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.1% | 40.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.9% | 31.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.7% | 40.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.8% | 49.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mannarino | hard | 1711 | 105–111 | 216 |
| A. Fery | hard | 1722 | 118–49 | 167 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
A. Fery leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 17, 2026 | London | grass | A. Fery | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Tien | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Galarneau | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | R. Bertola | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 0 - 3 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. Cobolli | 0 - 3 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 3 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bergs | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Virtanen | 3 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used