TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Iatcenko vs C. Monnet (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with C. Monnet favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Iatcenko | C. Monnet |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
33.1% | 66.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
9.3% | 90.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
21.2% | 78.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.0% | 71.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Iatcenko | hard | 1627 | 154–79 | 233 |
| C. Monnet | clay | 1577 | 102–107 | 209 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
C. Monnet leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | C. Monnet | 2 - 1 |
| L | J. Pareja | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | V. Zvonareva | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 2 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bai | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | K. Quevedo | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | E. R. Bertea | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Bulgaru | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | J. Pieri | 0 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used