TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Mejia vs P. Llamas Ruiz (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with P. Llamas Ruiz favoured at 1.14.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Mejia | P. Llamas Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.6% | 62.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
40.4% | 59.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
36.3% | 63.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.1% | 61.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
17.2% | 82.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Mejia | hard | 1591 | 88–100 | 188 |
| P. Llamas Ruiz | clay | 1792 | 152–76 | 228 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
P. Llamas Ruiz leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 0 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Hernandez | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Soto | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 1 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | M. Giron | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | K. Rice | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Lajal | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | B. Kuzuhara | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used