TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Basilashvili vs P. Boscardin Dias (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with N. Basilashvili favoured at 1.18.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Basilashvili | P. Boscardin Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.1% | 56.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.4% | 61.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.5% | 45.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.3% | 54.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
79.2% | 20.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Basilashvili | hard | 1638 | 77–89 | 166 |
| P. Boscardin Dias | clay | 1565 | 174–139 | 313 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 19, 2026.
P. Boscardin Dias leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | P. Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Poljicak | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Vrbensky | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Torres | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | J. Choinski | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Rodionov | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | O. Virtanen | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | K. Coppejans | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | D. Michalski | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | K. Jacquet | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used