TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Stoiana vs S. Janicijevic (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with M. Stoiana favoured at 1.14.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Stoiana | S. Janicijevic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.7% | 56.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
30.0% | 70.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
48.0% | 52.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.6% | 59.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
82.8% | 17.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stoiana | hard | 1629 | 61–37 | 98 |
| S. Janicijevic | clay | 1477 | 146–116 | 262 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
M. Stoiana leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Stoiana | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 19, 2025 | W50 Spring, TX | hard | M. Stoiana | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Korneeva | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | P. Stearns | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Y. Ku | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Pareja | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. S. Rogers | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | A. Soboleva | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | C. Esquiva Banuls | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | N. M. Schunk | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Bulatova | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | D. Glushkova | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used