TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Sherif vs G. Minnen (French Open on 2026-05-21) — the market is efficient, with G. Minnen favoured at 1.86.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Sherif | G. Minnen |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
69.4% | 30.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
82.1% | 17.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.9% | 49.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
67.5% | 32.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
49.5% | 50.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.
M. Sherif leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Inglis | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | K. Volynets | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Brengle | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | D. Vidmanova | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | M. Yamaguchi | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
All May 21, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used