TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Sherif vs A. Lazaro Garcia (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with M. Sherif favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Sherif | A. Lazaro Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.2% | 58.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
25.6% | 74.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
48.5% | 51.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.4% | 61.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.9% | 44.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sherif | clay | 1837 | 179–72 | 251 |
| A. Lazaro Garcia | clay | 1688 | 116–82 | 198 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.
M. Sherif leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 1 |
| March 28, 2026 | Dubrovnik | clay | A. Lazaro Garcia | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 2, 2021 | Buenos Aires | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | C. Paquet | 1 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Pigossi | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | N. Podoroska | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | Z. Kulambayeva | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Korneeva | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used