M. Landaluce vs J. Draper — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · · Aug. 13, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Draper (moneyline) at 1.36 in M. Landaluce vs J. Draper (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds M. Landaluce 2.94 · J. Draper 1.28

Bot bet

J. Draper (moneyline) @ 1.36 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: M. Landaluce · J. Draper · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Landaluce J. Draper
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
19.4% 80.6%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
21.2% 78.8%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
19.5% 80.5%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
23.2% 76.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
30.3% 69.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Landaluce hard1701 79–55134
J. Draper hard1943 154–60214

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 31, 2026.

Head to head

M. Landaluce leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 13, 2026CincinnatihardM. Landaluce2 - 0

Recent form

M. Landaluce

L T. Machac 2 - 0 Oct. 31, 2026
L A. Zverev 2 - 1 Oct. 27, 2026
L S. Wawrinka 2 - 1 Oct. 21, 2026
L M. Bellucci 2 - 1 Oct. 18, 2026
W L. Draxl 2 - 0 Oct. 17, 2026

J. Draper

L M. Landaluce 2 - 0 Aug. 13, 2026
L T. Atmane 2 - 1 Aug. 4, 2026
L U. Humbert 0 - 2 June 26, 2026
W G. Diallo 2 - 0 June 25, 2026
W J. Pinnington Jones 2 - 0 June 24, 2026

All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →