M. Joint vs T. Korpatsch — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · · Aug. 13, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Korpatsch (moneyline) at 3.35 in M. Joint vs T. Korpatsch (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds M. Joint 1.43 · T. Korpatsch 3.06

Bot bet

T. Korpatsch (moneyline) @ 3.35 · 0.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: M. Joint · T. Korpatsch · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Joint T. Korpatsch
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
51.9% 48.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
62.9% 37.1%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
47.9% 52.1%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
58.5% 41.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
68.2% 31.8%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Joint hard1726 88–57145
T. Korpatsch hard1639 66–79145

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 3, 2026.

Head to head

T. Korpatsch leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 14, 2026CincinnatihardT. Korpatsch2 - 1

Recent form

M. Joint

L E. Svitolina 2 - 1 Sept. 3, 2026
W L. Samsonova 2 - 1 Aug. 31, 2026
L P. Udvardy 2 - 0 Aug. 25, 2026
W Y. Putintseva 2 - 1 Aug. 24, 2026
W J. Hinojosa Gomez 2 - 0 Aug. 22, 2026

T. Korpatsch

L L. Tagger 2 - 0 Aug. 31, 2026
L I. Jovic 0 - 2 Aug. 16, 2026
W M. Joint 1 - 2 Aug. 14, 2026
L R. Zarazua 2 - 1 Aug. 3, 2026
W A. Bondar 0 - 2 July 26, 2026

All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →

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