TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. H. Rehberg vs F. Comesana (Geneva on 2026-05-17) — the market is efficient, with F. Comesana favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. H. Rehberg | F. Comesana |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.1% | 57.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
39.8% | 60.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
66.2% | 33.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.2% | 68.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. H. Rehberg | clay | 1621 | 68–61 | 129 |
| F. Comesana | clay | 1706 | 184–101 | 285 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
F. Comesana leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Geneva | clay | F. Comesana | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. E. Galan | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Travaglia | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Huesler | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Matusevich | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | Z. Piros | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | D. Rincon | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Dedura | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Donald | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Berrettini | 3 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
All May 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used