M. Bassols vs X. You — Prediction & Analysis

Beijing · WTA Beijing - Final · Sept. 29, 2026 · 03:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing X. You +3.0 (game handicap) at 1.83 in M. Bassols vs X. You (Beijing on 2026-09-29). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds M. Bassols 1.61 · X. You 2.18

Bot bet

X. You +3.0 (game handicap) @ 1.83 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: M. Bassols · X. You · head-to-head record · Beijing

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Bassols X. You
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
61.6% 38.4%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
50.3% 49.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
44.8% 55.2%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
52.2% 47.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
57.5% 42.5%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Bassols hard1592 112–85197
X. You hard1554 131–122253

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 30, 2026.

Head to head

Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Sept. 29, 2026BeijinghardM. Bassols2 - 0
June 3, 2024Bari Challenger WomenclayX. You2 - 0

Recent form

M. Bassols

L B. Andreescu 1 - 0 Nov. 12, 2026
W M. L. Carle 0 - 2 Nov. 11, 2026
W M. Herazo Gonzalez 0 - 2 Nov. 9, 2026
L A. Tubello 2 - 0 Nov. 4, 2026
W S. Costoulas 0 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026

X. You

L X. Yao 2 - 1 Nov. 5, 2026
W E. Koike 0 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
L D. Yastremska 2 - 1 Oct. 24, 2026
L J. Wang 2 - 0 Oct. 20, 2026
L M. Bassols 2 - 0 Sept. 29, 2026

All Sept. 29, 2026 results & picks →

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