TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Navone +5.5 (game handicap) at 1.62 in A. De Minaur vs M. Navone (Beijing on 2026-09-29). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. De Minaur | M. Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
71.0% | 28.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
70.6% | 29.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
30.4% | 69.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
57.3% | 42.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.2% | 18.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. De Minaur | hard | 1994 | 177–89 | 266 |
| M. Navone | hard | 1678 | 20–40 | 60 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 4, 2026.
A. De Minaur leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 1, 2026 | Beijing | hard | A. De Minaur | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 29, 2024 | ATP Paris | hard | A. De Minaur | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | C. Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Zverev | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | M. Berrettini | 0 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Tien | 0 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | V. Vacherot | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | T. Griekspoor | 0 - 2 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | P. Carreno-Busta | 1 - 2 | Oct. 8, 2026 |
All Sept. 29, 2026 results & picks →