TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Baez (moneyline) at 2.13 in J. Shang vs S. Baez (Beijing on 2026-09-29). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Shang | S. Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.7% | 58.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
40.8% | 59.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.4% | 48.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.6% | 55.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.0% | 43.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 13, 2026.
J. Shang leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 1, 2026 | Beijing | hard | J. Shang | 2 - 1 |
| W | D. Sweeny | 1 - 2 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | C. E. Overbeck | 1 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | Ja. Delaney | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | L. Harris | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
| L | C. Hemery | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | D. Glinka | 2 - 1 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | T. Machac | 0 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | D. Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
All Sept. 29, 2026 results & picks →