TennisEdge's AI bot is backing G. Monfils (moneyline) at 3.55 in L. Tien vs G. Monfils (Montreal on 2026-08-06). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Tien | G. Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.9% | 36.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.6% | 39.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
69.1% | 30.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.1% | 33.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
69.6% | 30.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Tien | hard | 1888 | 167–64 | 231 |
| G. Monfils | hard | 1773 | 93–58 | 151 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 4, 2026.
L. Tien leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 3, 2026 | US Open | hard | L. Tien | 3 - 0 |
| Aug. 6, 2026 | Montreal | hard | L. Tien | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. van Assche | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Vallejo | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 0 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | L. van Assche | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | C. Ruud | 0 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | L. Tien | 0 - 3 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Vallejo | 1 - 3 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 2 - 1 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| L | L. Tien | 2 - 1 | Aug. 6, 2026 |
| W | K. Majchrzak | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →