TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Tararudee vs D. Papamichail (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with L. Tararudee favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Tararudee | D. Papamichail |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.9% | 63.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
17.6% | 82.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
37.7% | 62.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.8% | 69.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
75.0% | 25.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Tararudee | hard | 1846 | 152–75 | 227 |
| D. Papamichail | clay | 1545 | 131–116 | 247 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
D. Papamichail leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | D. Papamichail | 2 - 1 |
| W | E. Jones | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | N. Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | J. Kovackova | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Yesypchuk | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Weckerle | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Capurro Taborda | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | C. Liu | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used